********************************* CHAPTER X ********************************* ============================================================================= ******************************* THE ACCIDENT ****************************** In an attempt to keep frigid temperatures from causing pipes to freeze up before the launch, water was allowed to run slowly through the system pipes. Despite this, large amounts of ice formed below the 240 foot level of the service structure and in the water trays below the Shuttle. Ice covered much of the launch tower and there was significant concern over the potential for damage from falling ice debris during the launch. There was concern that large pieces of falling debris could damage the vehicle's structure when it was shaken loose at liftoff. The heat and concussion of the blast, as well as the suction of air by the solid rocket ignition, caused much consternation over launch timing. Evidence from previous flight data indicated that debris had been sucked into the SRBs after ignition but there wasn't data for such extremely icy launch conditions. About a half inch of water was found in the clevis joint of the STS-9 when the pin was removed prior to restacking. This resulted from less rain than was experienced prior to the STS 51-L launch. Water in the joints turns to ice at low temperatures and the joint temperature at launch time for the 51-L was in the area of 28 degrees plus or minus 5 degrees F. Failure had occurred in O-rings during testing under certain conditions when ice was in the joints. Tests conducted after the accident confirmed that putty sealing qualities varied with temperature. Lower temperatures also delayed sealing during the pressure actuation of the O-rings which were less flexible at low temperatures. Ambient temperature restrictions forbade launch below 31 degrees F and this policy had never been violated. On Monday, January 27th, Thiokol's Engineering Vice President, Bob Lund, presented conclusions and recommendations that launching should not occur below 53 degrees F. Thiokol engineers considered launch unsafe at lower temperatures because the O-rings and putty seals presumably would be stiffer and less elastic at lower temperatures. In January 1985, the 51-C flight suffered extensive erosion. There was an 80 degree arc of black grease between the O-rings of the left solid rocket booster, and a 110 degree arc of black grease between the O-rings on the right solid rocket booster. The colder temperatures appeared to account for the slower sealing of the O-rings which allowed escaping hot gasses to damage or destroy the O-rings. This condition could then compromise the secondary seal. This was the argument presented by Mr. Boisjolly on behalf of the Thiokol engineers. It was argued by Marshall management that there had been blow-by during flights with higher launch temperatures, but Boisjolly maintained that the engineering conclusions were based on more severe damage having occurred during lower temperature launches. The 51-C flight in 1985 had experienced a degree and type of O-ring erosion not found on other flights. Under pressure to launch, the attempt to set the lowest safe temperature for launch at 53 degree F was discarded by Marshall, although Thiokol engineers had been unanimous in their no-go decision. Management alleged that there was sufficient margin of error in the secondary seal, arguing that the secondary seal would compensate for blow-by if the primary seal were to fail. It had been normal operating procedure for teams to prove that they were prepared for a launch but, contrary to policy, this time they tried to dissuade Thiokol engineers from trying to establish the 53 degree F base. Plans for launching from Vandengerg, where morning temperatures were frequently below 53 degrees F were mentioned. Had the launch been delayed until the ice melted, Casablanca could not have been used as an abort sight because it had no lights and Dakar's weather, on the morning of the 28th, was not good. Lacking air breathing engines, the Shuttle had to have an adequate emergency landing sight. Also, the ASTRO Halley's mission would undoubtedly be delayed if a launch did not occur on or before January 28th. Shirley Green was the agency's Director of Public Affairs. She was a political appointee who had been employed by Vice President Bush for seven years. Her current job entailed keeping Larry Speakes and Pat Buchanan abreast of NASA's newsworthy activities. Because she informed Rusty Brashear at the White House of the flight's postponement until the day of Reagan's State of the Union address, there has been much speculation about whether the White House put pressure on NASA to launch so that the president could refer to the teacher in space, Christa McAuliffe, in his message. He had a dismal record in education and needed a public relations event to bolster his image. During his re-election campaign, he had announced that the first "ordinary" citizen to be sent aloft in the Shuttle would be a teacher. "While the Shuttle lifts off, all of America will be reminded of the crucial role that teachers and education play in the life of our nation. I can't think of a better lesson for our children and our country." **** Ronald Reagan, August 27, 1984 **** The presidential commission, created by Executive Order #12546 which investigated the Challenger accident, was run by Richard Nixon's former Secretary of State, William P. Rogers. Rogers had been Attorney General during the latter part of the Eisenhower presidency and was, at the time of the accident, a law partner with the Rogers and Wells law firm in New York. Rogers and Wells had represented Lockheed Aircraft who was under contract to process the Shuttles at the time of the accident. As Nixon's Secretary of State and close friend, Rogers had been asked by Nixon to order the resignations of John Erlichman and Bob Haldeman during the Watergate scandal. Rogers refused to do it. After the Challenger accident, the image of the U.S. as the world leader in space travel was on the line and the public wanted some answers. The commission used three primary sources of data from which it analyzed the accident. These were launch photographs, telemetry and tracking data, as well as recovered pieces of the Shuttle wreckage. The commission explored several possible explanations for the accident. Among these were structural failure caused by over heating due to an abnormal trajectory, loss of the thermal protection system, a liquid hydrogen leak from the External Tank, and a hot gas leak from the Solid Rocket Motor. The Commission failed to find any loss of the thermal protection foam during either the launch or the ascent and therefore concluded that it was improbable that a liquid hydrogen tank leak had occurred. It was determined that hot gases had leaked from the O-ring failure to the seal the joint, but they could only conjecture as to the precise cause of the failure. The conclusion of the Rogers Commission was that Thiokol Management had reversed its no-launch position due to urgings from Management at Marshall "in order to accommodate a major customer". A tremendous surge of power is built up before the lift off of the Shuttle and it is temporarily held in check with hold down bolts. This initial burst of energy bends, twists, and shakes the rockets with vibrations that roll up and down them at a rate of about three cycles per second until they are released in a burst of elastic tension. At this moment the rocket casings become more elliptical and the point at which this is most pronounced is at 045-315 degrees on the outside of the right SRB and its mirror image on the left SRB. There are tremendous stresses on the joints, and at the point where the struts attach the boosters to the external tank this increases joint rotation. The engines were first throttled up to 100% at lift off and then up to 104% after clearing the tower. The Challenger underwent a programmed roll maneuver and the engines were throttled back to 94% to help reduce maximum aerodynamic load. The procedure, while the Shuttle is blasting into the atmosphere, is for the rockets to ignite, accelerate and then slow down before another thrust brings the spacecraft to maximum Q, or the moment of greatest stress, which is about the point at which it blew up. The Challenger was 73 seconds into its flights, about 19 miles up and traveling over mach 2 at about 1,800 feet per second when the computer screens at mission control in Houston, froze with an "S" for static. This ended the 24th flight in the Shuttle program. The Challenger's starboard booster had suffered a sudden unscheduled drop in power 10 seconds before the explosion. The right hand solid rocket motor dropped 30 pounds per square inch, which meant a loss of about 85,000 pounds of thrust. The rockets had to stay synchronized in the initial stages of flight or the phenomenon referred to as pogo would occur. Pogo is the term which refers to the shaking effect on the entire stack of rocket stages when the rockets fail to fire in synch during vertical flight. At around the same time as the pressure drop occurred, the Shuttle had encountered the most violent windshear ever experienced by a Shuttle launch. The Shuttle continued on a normal trajectory even after a flame from the Solid Rocket Motor was detected by photographic monitoring at 58 seconds after launch. From information telemetered during flight, there is no indications of any abnormal engine conditions occurring in the liquid fuel engine prior to a drop in engine fuel tank pressure at 72.56 seconds. The control system automatically opened the fuel flowrate valve when pressure dropped in the engine. A leaner mixture, which resulted from the pressure drop, increased the turbine temperatures. Heating remained within the design limits of the tank structural components at 73 seconds and maximum aerodynamic heating would normally not be reached until about 90 seconds. A white cloud appeared near the side of the external tank at 73.175 seconds, followed a fraction of a second later by a flash between the orbiter and the hydrogen portion of the external tank. Following this, there was an explosion near the nose of the right SRB where it appears to have crashed into the external tank. This occurred as the aft portion of the tail of the right SRB was swinging away from its attach point. Hot gas, at around 5,600 degrees F, is believed to have melted a hole in the half inch steel case of the rocket segment and burned a hole in the liquid hydrogen tank. The SRBs received tremendous jolts when the accident occurred and they continued to burn as they descended into the Atlantic. Any harm that occurred to the right hand SRB, which showed some initial damage at launch, may have been accelerated after such a shock. That the right hand rocket motor was damaged at the point where hot gases leaked was to be expected. But to counter the slipstream and blow at an angle sufficient to torch the external tank would require a rather massive breach to have occurred before the blowup. There is some indication for this in the debris which was recovered from the ocean offshore from Cape Canaveral. This may, though, have accelerated after the blowup. Near the 307 degree position of the aft field joint, on the recovered portion of the Solid Rocket Booster, there was extensive burn damage. Most of the insides of the casings which were recovered had some unburned propellant still in tact. The burn pattern was star shaped, which is normal in a forward segment of the casing. The recovered casing pieces showed normal hardness, and no cracks were found in any of the recovered propellant. Video and photographic evidence showed that the SRBs remained in tact until the explosion, with the exception of the right hand SRB field joint leak. It was thought that icicles may have broken a tile during launch. Also, before the launch, a derrick on the 39-B launch tower struck one of the three attach points of the tank on the 12 story tall Challenger driving a bolt an inch into the insulation. No x-rays were made of the underlying metal before liftoff. One theory concerning this incident is that the struts, which connect the external tank to the orbiter, are thought to have broken when the derrick struck. Television monitoring gave no indication of debris having hit the hydrogen tank at liftoff. No subsequent flight data indicated any structural loads had exceeded 80 percent of the Shuttle's design limitations during liftoff or during the flight before the explosion. Sabotage was considered as a possibility, partially due to other accidents to missiles which occurred about the same time, but no evidence has emerged. At the time of the Challenger launch, atmosphere in the region could be assumed to be highly electrically charged, due to several events then occurring. First, the sun was at a low point in solar activity. This means that the amount of cosmic radiation entering the atmosphere was at a peak. The accident occurred near the second day after a full moon, which is when lightning storms are at a statistical high, and it occurred in the region of the United States that receives the highest number of electrical storms of any part of the country. There was a full moon at 7:35 P.M. EST on the 25th of January, 1986. The main source of energy that creates lightning by ionizing the ionosphere and electrifying the earth's atmosphere, comes from outer space. Due to a diminished atmosphere cosmic ray bombardment is more intense during lows in sunspot activity, and 1986 was a low point in the solar cycle. While there are frequent observations in the Antarctic of the thinning of the ozone layer, there have been few such observations in the Arctic. In May of 1988, at a meeting of the American Geophysical Union, W.F.J. Evans, an atmospheric physicist for the Canadian Department of the Environment, described a 1,500 mile ozone crater which occurred between January and March of 1986 over the Arctic region. This would seem to imply that sunspot activity was at an extreme low. The time of the Challenger accident coincided with the same lunar/solar position that had occurred at the time of the Grissom, White and Chaffey accident 19 years earlier. The events were in coincidence with the period of lunar/solar repetitions known as the Cycle of Meton. This suggests that the reason for the fire in the Grissom, White and Chaffey capsule, and the Challenger accident, may have been the result of environmental electricity. Like a condenser, the ionosphere controls the interchange of electricity between the earth and the atmosphere. The earth's surface is negatively charged and the atmosphere is positively charged. The atmosphere is a porous insulator between the earth and the ionosphere and an average difference of about 300,000 volts exists between them. The potential gradient, or difference in electrical potential, which occurs in fair weather, varies in direct relation to the earth's proximity to the sun. It reaches a maximum of about 20% above average in January, when the earth is at perihelion, and about 20% below average in July, when the earth is at aphelion. The eccentricity of the earth's orbit is 0.017, which comes very close to a circle, but this small deviation is sufficient to cause significant variations in the amount of solar radiation which is received by the earth. It has been observed that the effects of the solar wind are greater when the region that is affected is toward the sun, which means that the atmosphere has the least amount of protection at about noon. The Shuttle exploded at 11:39 and 13 seconds. Halley's comet was then just behind the sun's corona and approaching what would be its greatest elongation. This would make the comet a linear particle accelerator longer than the distance between the earth and the sun. The interactions then taking place between the comet and the sun are beyond the scope of this work, but whether the comet diverted solar energy, managed to send cosmic radiation back through the sun's coronal lense toward the earth's magnetosphere, or created bursts of solar activity, there is a significant coincidence in timing. It would appear to be an effect which parallels what occurs during solar conjunctions with the Pleiades. The volcanic and earthquake activity which occurs when the sun lies between the earth and the sidereal position of the Pleiades implies that the sun is acting as a kind of lense. The altitude at which the Challenger blew up is the altitude to which the cosmic radiation usually penetrates and forms the densest layer of charged particles. At about this height, the troposphere meets the stratosphere. It is from this altitude that the temperature of the upper atmosphere begins to rise from radiation induced activity. Above around 11 miles up in the atmosphere, cosmic rays collide with neutral particles of air and produce ions that conduct electricity. The earth is shielded from this deadly radiation by the atmosphere and the further up one goes the more electricity the atmosphere conducts. This is a highly charged region in the afternoon. In Florida, the ozone density tends to increase from about 9-1/2 miles above the ground and tends to decrease again at about 20 miles up under normal conditions. Normally the greatest density of ozone would occur just above the tropopause at about 12 to 18 miles high. Radar data indicates that the Challenger broke up at about 104,000 feet, which is 19.7miles. (_Challenger: The Final Voyage_ , page 31.) When an aircraft travels through the atmosphere, it collects a charge by a process of electrostatic induction and atmospheric friction. When sufficient voltage difference occurs between the metal aircraft and the atmosphere for ion collisions to cause particles of air to be luminous, brush discharge or corona often occurs. This is popularly called St. Elmo's fire. The region in which the aircraft is traveling as well as its speed and size determine the amount of charge which is built up. The dynamics of the Shuttle design are such that a large charge would be built up on its structure because of its large size and great speed. This is what did in fact occur at 45 seconds into the flight when three bright flashes appeared downstream of the Challenger's right wing. St. Ermo or St. Erasmus was the patron saint of Mediterranean sailors. St. Elmo's fire, which appears as slow electrical discharges, is evidence of a strong difference of electrical potential between the atmosphere and the glowing object, and often indicates a rapid buildup of electrostatic force which precedes lightning strikes. An aircraft which travels through particles of moisture or dust in the air becomes charged from friction. A charge can also be induced when an aircraft flies near a heavily charged region such as a thunder cloud. The larger the aircraft width and the greater its speed the greater the charge that can build up. If an aircraft has a fuel leak this can ignite the vapors. There should still have been tiny particulate dust and water vapors in the region from the eruption of the Columbian Nevado Del Ruiz volcano which would be highly charged and this could also have been a factor contributing to the cold weather. This atmospheric dust would have been at the top of the troposphere where the anviltops of thunder clouds occur and this dust would have spent some time being exposed to the cosmic radiation of the low sunspot period. Lightning has been known to strike the earth when no clouds were in sight. Electrification of regions around and within clouds in the upper atmosphere largely results from cosmic radiation from interstellar space, our sun and other regions of the cosmos. Ionizing radiation also comes from the soil and from plants as well as from the ocean's surface. The result is some 1,800 to 4,000 electrical storms which occur on the average at any given time on the planet and lightning strikes the earth more than 100 times per second. It is, therefore, suggestive that the initial ignition of the solid fuel propellant in the SRBs occurs electrically. The earth continually loses electrons into the atmosphere. There is electricity in the air even in fair weather and all air contains some moisture which is a gaseous and invisible vapor on clear days. When there are no clouds, however, there is usually an absence of atmospheric lightning discharge under normal conditions. Heat thunderstorms are a common phenomenon over Florida in the afternoons when electrons generally flow back to the earth which has been losing them from its negatively charged surface. Small artificial thunderstorms may arise from such things as forest fires or from the ejection of a volcano when conditions of the atmosphere are right. The hot vapors which trailed the shuttle were similar in composition to the effluence of a volcanic eruption. A normal shuttle launch leaves about 5,000 pounds of nitrogen oxides, 8,000 pounds of chlorine, 77,000 pounds of hydrogen chloride, and over 100,000 pounds of aluminum oxide in its vapor trail. The cloud column disperses slowly and the by-products of the main engine fuels, hydrogen and oxygen, create water vapor in the form of steam. This trail had reached the ionospheric layer when the Shuttle exploded. ============================================================================= end of chapter